A version of this article was initially published in 2021 and has been updated and expanded for 2023.
As we prepare for the 41st PDGA Professional Disc Golf World Championship, many storylines revolve around who will win. Will it all be knotted up after the 90th hole, like last year’s battle between Paul McBeth and Aaron Gossage? Will Kristin Tattar rout the field again? Will a new generation of players take it down? Will McBeth win his seventh World Championship or finish in first or second place for the eleventh straight year? Will a veteran without a Major title pull a Gregg Barsby and shock us all?
This article will examine the ages at which past champions took down the most prestigious Major in our sport. Before reading any further, try to guess the average age of a world champion. How about their age when they first won a world championship?
Player ages in these graphs represent the age they turned at some point in the calendar year they won Worlds, before or after the tournament.
The first graph shows the MPO winner in each year, including multiple-year winners:
The second graph shows the FPO winner in each year, including multiple-year winners:
The third graph shows only first-time MPO winners:
The fourth graph shows only first-time FPO winners:
A few statistics:
The average age for MPO and FPO Worlds winners and first-time MPO and FPO winners is between 27 and 28. Ages 27/28 seems to be the prime age for a disc golfer. Players that will turn 27 in 2023 include Calvin Heimburg, Kevin Jones, Drew Gibson, Ella Hansen, Anniken Steen, Rebecca Cox, Sai Ananda, and 2018 World Champion Paige Shue. Players that turn 28 in 2023 include James Proctor, Jessica Weese, and Natalie Ryan.
However, the last time a 27 year-old won Worlds in MPO was Cam Todd in 2001, the last 28 year-old winner was Ken Climo in 1996, the last 27 year-old FPO winner was Juliana Korver in 1998, and the last 28 year-old winner was Paige Pierce in 2019.
The median first-time winner for MPO players is 28, and the median first-time FPO player is 27. This shows that you are just as likely to win below the age of 27/28 as above.
Another way to think about it, one-time winners tended to win later than multi-time winners’ first victories. That makes sense if you figure that multi-time winners like Ken Climo, Nate Doss, Paul McBeth, Ricky Wysocki, Val Jenkins, and Paige Pierce may have more natural talent, so they don’t have to wait until their peak (late 20s – early 30s) to win, whereas a one-time winner might. Other players would have likely won earlier in their careers had they started playing earlier, such as Barry Schultz, Juliana Korver, Des Reading, Catrina Allen, and Kristin Tattar.
There have been 40 MPO PDGA World Championships, and Ken Climo has won 12 of them. That could have distorted the average age, but even if we remove Climo from the data set, the average age from MPO World Champions is 27.21.
If we look at Elite and Major winners thus far in 2023, the average age for an MPO winner is 25, whereas the average age for an FPO winner is 31.3. This MPO season has felt like a changing of the guards, and with Gannon Buhr and Isaac Robinson recently taking down their first Majors, this could be a year where a young generational talent wins Worlds. For FPO, it has been a different story, with tricerians Tattar, Pierce, Gannon, and Allen winning 12 of the 15 events.
What is the prime age in other sports?:
My thanks to StatMando for their input on this piece. If you would like to learn more about the age trajectories of the top players in the history of disc golf, please check out this article I wrote a few years ago.
